COVID-19 and the Economic Meltdown: Was Global Tourism the Only Thing Keeping Us Afloat?

29.6.20

Grounded planes in Alabama, March 25, 2020 (Photo: Elijah Nouvelage/Reuters).

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Three months since the arrival of the novel coronavirus COVID-19 prompted an unprecedented lockdown on human interaction and on huge swathes of our economy, the primary objective — preventing our hospitals and morgues from being overwhelmed — has been achieved. The cost — economically, and, in some cases, psychologically — has been enormous, but the road ahead, as those in charge attempt to revive a functioning economy, looks like it will be even more arduous.

No congratulations should be extended to Boris Johnson and his government for the achievements of the lockdown. Johnson dithered for far too long at the beginning of the crisis, and the deaths of tens of thousands of people are, as a result, his responsibility, although not his responsibility alone, as the last few months have also shown us that, sadly, this empty windbag of a Prime Minister is largely manipulated by his senior adviser, the sneering eugenicist Dominic Cummings.

Both men were initially prepared to allow the virus to spread unchecked throughout the entire population, with people required to “take it on the chin”, as they let it “move through the population”, as Johnson explained in a now notorious TV appearance. It was only when medical experts pointed out the potential death toll of the “herd immunity” scenario that the lockdown began, following similar conclusions that were, in most other countries, reached rather earlier in the virus’s spread.

Per capita, the UK has the worst death rate from COVID-19 in the world, based on excess deaths; in other words, the number of deaths exceeding the statistical average for the time of year. On June 9, the latest information from the Office for National Statistics showed a total of 63,629 excess deaths since the virus first hit the UK.

The good news right now is that the excess death rate is falling, although that doesn’t mean that the virus has gone away, even though that now appears to be a widely-held perception in parts of the population. As was noted yestoday, the number of identified cases globally has just passed the 10 million mark, while the number of confirmed deaths has now passed half a million. In addition, as the Observer explained, new clusters of COVID-19 outbreaks around the world are currently sparking fears of a second wave.

The difficulties of getting out of lockdown

Meanwhile, as countries begin to work out how to lift their lockdowns, a few key conclusions about its impact are readily discernible: firstly, partly prompted by hypocrisy (Dominic Cummings’ notorious trips to Durham at the height of the lockdown) or general incompetence (step forward, Johnson, and Trump in the US), and partly because of the unprecedented effort of being required to be isolated and anti-social for two to three months, people are responding to the easing of lockdown in sometimes alarming ways.

Two weeks ago, two “quarantine raves” attracted 6,000 people in the Manchester area, and other parts of the country have followed suit, even though the precedent was far from encouraging. At one of the raves, attended by 4,000 people in a country park in Oldham, a 20-year-old man died of a drug overdose, while “a woman was raped and three men were stabbed at a separate illegal rave in Trafford.”

Elsewhere, problems have arisen with out of control revellers on beaches, with perhaps the most notorious example being in Dorset, on Thursday, when “half a million people had flocked to the beaches”, according to the Bournemouth East MP, Tobias Ellwood, and, at Bournemouth in particular, there was “widespread illegal parking, gridlock on roads, excessive waste, antisocial behaviour including excessive drinking and fights and prohibited overnight camping.”

While the excessive drinking is a well-known British problem, other countries in Europe are also grappling with “impromptu parties and illicit raves”, according to the Guardian, which focused on problems in Portugal, France, Germany and Spain. On Thursday, “the World Health Organization warned that some 30 European countries had reported a surge in new cases in the past two weeks.”

If hedonism and uncontrolled drinking are one response to three months of lockdown — aided by the fact that so many people, for one reason or another, are not as tied to the weekday 9 to 5 as they were before the virus hit — it is also evident that huge numbers of people remain overwhelmingly cautious about the virus. Certainly, in the UK it would be reasonable to say that the government’s messaging is so scrambled that individualised perceptions of risk are actually the main driver of people’s behaviour — when, that is, they have the luxury of not being required to go to work in circumstances that may or may not carry different levels of risk.

No return to the office

A survey of parents conducted last week by the children’s nursery company Bright Horizons, for example, found that, of office workers, “[j]ust 13% want to go back to pre-pandemic ways of working, with most people saying they would prefer to spend a maximum of three days in the office.” According to the Guardian, the survey suggested that “many working parents realise that large parts of their jobs can be conducted remotely. And they believe that their employers will agree. Nearly two-thirds think their employers will be open to remote or flexible working in the future as the widespread adoption of Zoom and other online tools has kept many businesses functioning even as physical workplaces have been shuttered.” Nearly half of the respondents said that they were intending to ask for more remote working.

This could make a huge difference to the world of work, hopefully bringing to an end the insanely packed rush hour commute that no longer looks feasible at all. Happily, walking and bike use have increased massively since the lockdown began, but now, with people still avoiding public transport, car use is unfortunately on the rise, which, for environmental reasons, is a disaster. What we need to find is a balance that permanently reduces car use and encourages bike use (many more bike lanes and pedestrianised areas, and far fewer roads and carriageways), but that also entices people back onto public transport, for which the obvious solutions involve permanent working from home, for at least some of the work, for those who can, and perhaps also some form of staggered work hours.

Interestingly, as was reported last week, the sudden revolution in working from home, which employers had failed to engage with meaningfully before the virus hit, despite the technological advances enabling it, now looks set to be permanent. Last Tuesday, the Guardian noted that “demand for office space in City skyscrapers will be diminished even after the coronavirus pandemic is over, with experts predicting a major shift in the commercial property market.”

As the Guardian explained, “Financial institutions were among the companies that completely changed their way of working and sent their colleagues home from city centre offices prior to the government lockdown” in March, and in April, Jes Staley, the chief executive of Barclays, “predicted that there would not be a return to rush-hour journeys to large corporate headquarters, even once Covid-19 no longer poses a risk”, because “[t]he vast majority of the bank’s 80,000 staff were able to work remotely during the pandemic, allowing the lender to function as normal.” As Staley described it, “I think the notion of putting 7,000 people in a building may be a thing of the past, and we will find ways to operate with more distancing over a much longer period of time.”

An almost deserted City of London on March 30, 2020, in a photo dominated by the bulk of 22 Bishopsgate (aka Twentytwo), a new office block, close to completion, that suddenly looks surplus to requirements (Photo: Andy Worthington).

I anticipated the demise of the greedy and environmentally insane housing and office development industry back in May, in an article entitled, Coronavirus and the Meltdown of the Construction Industry: Bloated, Socially Oppressive and Environmentally Ruinous, and I was pleased to see, in the Observer yesterday, an assessment that a future of severely reduced office use “poses a serious problem for multimillion pound skyscraper projects under way in the capital.”

The Observer spoke to some small financial companies that are moving out permanently, like Bishopsgate Financial Consulting, which is closing its head office in the Square Mile, with all 65 workers now working from home. As the Observer described it, “The move will save the company hundreds of thousands of pounds a year, slicing a quarter off its annual costs. Employees will also benefit financially – with some saving thousands of pounds each in annual commuting bills.” The company “has bought desks, laptops, dual screens and printers for its staff to use at home”, keeping only a a “virtual office” in the City, to preserve a City address “along with access to meeting rooms and lounges when it needs them.”

On a much bigger scale, Lloyd’s, “which closed its underwriting room in the Square Mile in late March, for the first time in its 334-year history”, is planning to reopen in August, but, at least for the time being, “expects that only 20% to 25% of 850 corporation staff and 3,000 to 4,000 brokers and underwriters will return” to its Lime Street headquarters.

As a result of these changes, it is anticipated that planned giant office developments that have not yet begun will not happen, including “1 Undershaft, known as the Trellis, which would be the second-tallest building in western Europe after the Shard at 290 metres, and where construction had been expected to start by the end of this year”, as well as “the Diamond, rising to 247 metres; and the Bishopsgate Goodsyard towers.”

In the meantime, ongoing projects, like the fund manager M&G’s 40 Leadenhall Street development, which has been given the nickname ‘Gotham City’ because of its similarity to the fictional skyline in Batman, are unlikely to be stopped, even though they look like the definition of pointlessness. At Leadenhall Street, work on the foundations had just begun when the virus hit, and it was one of the few sites where construction work didn’t stop at all during the most severe phase of the lockdown.

The prospect of the office environment — and its huge profits for landlords, landowners and investors — not bouncing back creates opportunities to think about how the future might be different, and how that space can be re-configured, especially if we factor in the equally doomed towers of overpriced apartment blocks, which looked like a zombie industry even before the virus hit, with investors put off by the broken basket case of Brexit Britain, and with Londoners almost completely unable to afford to buy into the developments, even if they wanted to.

Something better change

Moreover, thinking about a different future not only reflects the hopes of working parents; it also reflects the concerns of society as a whole, as a YouGov poll showed that 59% of people want change, and only 6% wanted to resurrect pre-virus “business as usual.” The polling, as reported by the Guardian today, found that “31% of people want to see big changes in the way the economy is run coming out of the crisis, with a further 28% wanting to see moderate changes”, and with “only 6% of people wanting to see no changes.”

The polling coincided with the launch of the New Economics Foundation’s ‘Build Back Better’ campaign, calling for a “fairer and greener” economic recovery that “provides more funding for the NHS and social care, tackles inequality, creates good jobs, particularly for young people, and reduces the risk of future pandemics and climate emergencies”, which is backed by “350 influential figures” including Bob Kerslake, the former head of the civil service, religious leaders including the former archbishop of Canterbury Rowan Williams, the heads of the Trades Union Congress, the Confederation of British Industry, the British Chambers of Commerce, Oxfam, Shelter, Save the Children, the Trussell Trust, Greenpeace and Friends of the Earth.

The environmental imperative to drastically and permanently change our economic activity, which I wrote about in April, was also emphasised in a report by Climate Assembly UK, “a group of 108 members of the public chosen to be representative of the UK population and to help shape future climate policy by discussing options to reach net zero carbon emissions, in line with the government’s 2050 target.”

The assembly found, as the Guardian described it, that “[p]eople would be prepared to continue many of the lifestyle changes enforced by the coronavirus lockdown to help tackle the climate emergency, and the government would have broad support for a green economic recovery from the crisis”, with working from home “a popular option, along with changes to how people travel”, giving the government “the opportunity to rethink investment in infrastructure and support low-carbon industries.”  As the Guardian added, “Nearly eight in ten of the members said the measures taken by the government to help the economic recovery from Covid-19 should be designed to help reach net zero, and an even bigger proportion – 93% – said that, as the lockdown eased, the government and employers should encourage lifestyle changes to cut emissions.”

The end of tourism?

The third aspect of the post-lockdown world, which is most significant in terms of the economy, involves, broadly speaking, shopping and tourism, which I looked at in an article in March, Imagining a Post-Coronavirus World: Ending Ravenous Capitalism and Our Consumer-Driven Promiscuity, and which has been preoccupying me as I have been cycling around London’s West End, taking photos for my ongoing photo-journalism project ‘The State of London’, where efforts at opening up the economy after three months of lockdown are meeting with only limited success, and where it has become apparent that the economy of pre-virus London relied to an extraordinary extent on foreign tourists, who no longer exist, and who are clearly not going to return any time soon in sufficient numbers to revive what was a crazed business model — a city of hectic economic activity, groaning under the sheer weight of tourists, with sky-high rents, tiny operating margins and hordes of exploited workers.

At its heart, of course, the problem is safety. To all but the most reckless would-be travellers, planes now look like virus incubators, but even for those who are prepared to overlook the risk, the destination is no longer as enticing as it was, with London’s theatres, music venues and clubs all shut, a situation that is devastating for Britain’s creative people, and that will not be alleviated by the rush, on the government’s part, to reopen pubs, restaurants and cinemas on July 4.

In a major article for the Guardian, The end of tourism?, Christopher de Bellaigue looked in detail at the global tourist industry, beginning with the cruise industry, a largely unregulated $150bn business that is “shedding jobs, issuing debt and discounting furiously simply to survive”, but that really shouldn’t survive because of its hugely destructive impact on everything it touches.

As de Bellaigue explained, “Tourism is an unusual industry in that the assets it monetises – a view, a reef, a cathedral – do not belong to it. The world’s dominant cruise companies – Carnival, Royal Caribbean and Norwegian – pay little towards the upkeep of the public goods they live off. By incorporating themselves in overseas tax havens with benign environmental and labour laws – respectively Panama, Liberia and Bermuda – cruising’s big three, which account for three-quarters of the industry, get to enjoy low taxes and avoid much irksome regulation, while polluting the air and sea, eroding coastlines and pouring tens of millions of people into picturesque ports of call that often cannot cope with them.”

As he added, “What goes for cruises goes for most of the travel industry … [M]ost hotel groups, tour operators and national tourism authorities – whatever their stated commitment to sustainable tourism – continue to prioritise the economies of scale that inevitably lead to more tourists paying less money and heaping more pressure on those same assets. Before the pandemic, industry experts were forecasting that international arrivals would rise by between 3% and 4% in 2020. Chinese travellers, the largest and fastest-growing cohort in world tourism, were expected to make 160m trips abroad, a 27% increase on the 2015 figure.”

Now, however, as de Bellaigue added, “The virus has given us a picture, at once frightening and beautiful, of a world without tourism. We see now what happens to our public goods when tourists aren’t clustering to exploit them. Shorelines enjoy a respite from the erosion caused by cruise ships the size of canyons.”

As he also explained, “Coronavirus has also revealed the danger of overreliance on tourism, demonstrating in brutal fashion what happens when the industry supporting an entire community, at the expense of any other more sustainable activity, collapses. On 7 May, the UN World Tourism Organisation estimated that earnings from international tourism might be down 80% this year against last year’s figure of $1.7tn, and that 120m jobs could be lost. Since tourism relies on the same human mobility that spreads disease, and will be subject to the most stringent and lasting restrictions, it is likely to suffer more than almost any other economic activity.”

Shoppers return to Oxford Street on June 15, 2020, the day that “non-essential” shops were allowed to re-open. However, the numbers were tiny compared to the half a million visitors a day who visited Oxford Street before the coronavirus hit (Photo: Andy Worthington).

Sadly, as de Bellaigue stated, “As tourism’s impact on the world has deepened, so the global economy has come to depend on it.”

As he also explained, “one in 10 jobs in the world depend on” tourism, and its loss will be devastating almost everywhere. However, it is important to remember that, “For all the money the industry usually brings in, one of the prices of allowing a place to be taken over by tourism is the way it distorts local development. Farmers sell their land to the hotel chain, only for the price of crops they once grew to inflate beyond their reach. Water is diverted to the golf course while the locals go short. The road is paved as far as the theme park, not the school.” As de Bellaigue put it, “In its subordination of an economy to a powerful, capricious, external motor, tourism dependency has something in common with the aid dependency that I observed as a reporter in Afghanistan after the 2001 invasion. In both cases, the worst threat is the possibility of sudden withdrawal.”

Moving on, de Bellaigue analysed “overtourism – the saturation of a destination by visitors in numbers it cannot sustain”, looking at Venice, where its 30 million visitors a year “exceeds the city’s ‘carrying capacity’, the number it can accommodate without permanently damaging its infrastructure and way of life, by at least 10 million”, according to Jan van der Borg, a university-based tourism specialist. He is particularly concerned that the majority of the tourists fail to contribute in any meaningful way to Venice’s economy, with de Ballaigue stating, “Some 70% are day-trippers, who after being ‘spat from their tour buses, cruise ships and airplanes’, spend a few hours congesting the historic heart of Venice ‘but without contributing to its maintenance.’ After parting with perhaps €15, enough to buy them a souvenir manufactured thousands of miles away, they are hurried by their guide on to their next destination.”

As de Ballaigue also explained, “In the past 10 years, the curse of ‘Venetianisation’ – the hollowing out of a place, as it fills with tourist-termites – has beset city after city, as budget airlines and Airbnb have brought a weekend somewhere cobbled within reach of millions. That hasn’t just meant long-established destinations such as Venice or Paris, but sleepy coastal towns such as Porto, on Portugal’s Atlantic coast, that were completely unprepared for the numbers of tourists unleashed on them.”

The resistance began in Barcelona in 2015, when the city council “introduced a moratorium on new hotels”, and, in 2016, gave Airbnb “a €600,000 fine for listing unlicensed properties – small beer for a company whose revenues from a single quarter have been known to exceed $1bn, but a sign of growing hostility towards an industry that could make a city unrecognisable to its residents in a short space of time.” As de Ballaigue noted, although the attractions of tourist money are undeniable, “mass tourism displaces other businesses, while the exodus of many creative and productive residents, as well as the stress placed on local infrastructure by visitors in such numbers, carry a cost of their own.”

As he also explained, “Behind the recent campaigns against over-tourism lies a growing appreciation that public goods that were assumed to be endlessly exploitable are, in fact, both finite and have a value that the price of visiting them should reflect. ‘Polluter pays’ is an economic principle that is gradually being introduced to farming, manufacturing and energy. The idea is that if your business produces harmful side effects, then you should be the one who picks up the tab for the cleanup operation. Something similar, incorporating not only environmental harm but also wider cultural degradation or damage to way of life, might become the guiding principle of a properly sustainable tourism industry.”

That may be a forlorn hope, as destinations around the world, outside of the richer western economies, may well be desperate for any and all tourist revenue, but the problem remains, as mentioned above, that we have no way of knowing right now how many people will be prepared, in the near future, to get on a plane to go anywhere.

Instead, for the foreseeable future, tourist destinations are going to have to become more self-reliant — an uncomfortable truth that is going to impact London to a greater extent than, perhaps, most people realise. While I remain extremely concerned about the current loss of culture, via live music and theatre, I cannot even theoretically accept a return to London’s previous tourist levels (up from 11 million visitors a year in 2002 to 21.5 million in 2018), which, while not as dire as the experiences of Venice and Barcelona, were still unsustainable environmentally, however, much they created what looked like a viable economy (even if, in reality, it involved quite shocking levels of greed and exploitation).

I have no illusions that the adjustment to a less tourist-ravaged world will be easy or painless, and I have no wish to be seen to be dismissing the damage it will cause to so many people’s lives, but it is, I think, why we need what we very clearly don’t have in the UK — bold, visionary political leadership. We need creative ideas about how to create new jobs from the wreckage of the old, how to dismantle property-based greed, via a deflated housing market, and reduced business and domestic rents and leases, as well as how to revive live culture by thinking outside the box.

* * * * *

Andy Worthington is a freelance investigative journalist, activist, author, photographer, film-maker and singer-songwriter (the lead singer and main songwriter for the London-based band The Four Fathers, whose music is available via Bandcamp). He is the co-founder of the Close Guantánamo campaign (and see the latest photo campaign here) and the successful We Stand With Shaker campaign of 2014-15, and the author of The Guantánamo Files: The Stories of the 774 Detainees in America’s Illegal Prison and of two other books: Stonehenge: Celebration and Subversion and The Battle of the Beanfield. He is also the co-director (with Polly Nash) of the documentary film, “Outside the Law: Stories from Guantánamo” (available on DVD here, or here for the US, or you can watch it online here, via the production company Spectacle, for £2.55), and for his photo project ‘The State of London’ he publishes a photo a day from eight years of bike rides around the 120 postcodes of the capital.

In 2017, Andy became very involved in housing issues. He is the narrator of the documentary film, ‘Concrete Soldiers UK’, about the destruction of council estates, and the inspiring resistance of residents, he wrote a song ‘Grenfell’, in the aftermath of the entirely preventable fire in June 2017 that killed over 70 people, and he also set up ‘No Social Cleansing in Lewisham’ as a focal point for resistance to estate destruction and the loss of community space in his home borough in south east London. For two months, from August to October 2018, he was part of the occupation of the Old Tidemill Wildlife Garden in Deptford, to prevent its destruction — and that of 16 structurally sound council flats next door — by Lewisham Council and Peabody. Although the garden was violently evicted by bailiffs on October 29, 2018, and the trees were cut down on February 27, 2019, the resistance continues.

To receive new articles in your inbox, please subscribe to Andy’s RSS feed — and he can also be found on Facebook (and here), Twitter, Flickr and YouTube. Also see the six-part definitive Guantánamo prisoner list, The Complete Guantánamo Files, the definitive Guantánamo habeas list, the full military commissions list, and the chronological list of all Andy’s articles.

Please also consider joining the Close Guantánamo campaign, and, if you appreciate Andy’s work, feel free to make a donation.

24 Responses

  1. Andy Worthington says...

    When I posted this on Facebook, I wrote:

    Here’s my latest article, an update on the coronavirus crisis, looking in particular at the difficulties accompanying the lifting of lockdown restrictions, with a positive focus on an anticipated reduction is the use of offices, as large numbers of people are expected to continue working from home. This will not only free up space for, hopefully, much more interesting uses for these buildings; it will also, I hope, signal an end to overcrowded rush-hour public transport.

    I also examine the significance of a general economic over-reliance on mass tourism, with a particular focus on London, which had 21.5 million tourists in 2018, a number that was environmentally unsustainable, and that, as the emptiness of the West End still demonstrates, suggests that London was almost as reliant on damagingly high influxes of tourists as other overcrowded holiday destinations like Venice and Barcelona.

    I hope this article will prompt further discussion of these issues, as those of us paying close attention to the virus reflect on how much the world has changed, and how we cannot return to the economic models that existed before the virus hit.

  2. Anna says...

    Hi Andy, very interesting and with a lot of potentially great changes, provided our various governments are willing & capable of planning beyond now and the next election. But the success of the Greens in yesterday’s elections in France gives some hope.

    Working only at home has all the advantages you mention but also a mental health risk. In a society where already too many people are glued to their mobiles even when having dinner with friends or walking around this will again increase social isolation other than the necessary covid one. Not everyone is able to cope with lack of direct, physical, contact with colleagues and to keep work from interfering with private life.

    As I think I wrote at some earlier point, the whole tourist business is absurd, as if one could not have a rest and fun in one’s own country. As a matter of fact, Kraków (in 2019 14 million tourists for 800.000 inhabitants…, half a million more than the previous year) now promotes ‘be a tourist in your own city’, unfortunately offering 50% discount on public transport for tourists. Normally I applaud public transport over cars, but this is not the moment to fill up trams in which not everyone by far adheres to the ‘wear a mask’ rule.

    But at the same time it tries to attract foreign tourists again too. As for ‘exotic’ beaches, I long ago decided that concrete platforms should be built in the middle of warm seas, covered with hotels, disco’s and a lot of sand and artificial ‘theme’ villages (Thailand, Kenya etc). Most tourists would not even notice the difference and real countries would be spared the invasion.

    As for reopening flying for tourism, it is a Pandora’s box if no quarantine is involved either way between two ‘safe’ countries. What if you go for a month to say France, but by the time you return it has become a ‘red alert’ zone ? You were promised a no-quarantine return while you now may have become a walking time-bomb. Looks to me like resuming tourist flights right now is premature with far too many unknowns, were it only the quality of the air circulating in the confined space of the aircraft.

    How old were you when you first went on a holiday abroad ? Were you highly frustrated before that or did you enjoy spending your holidays some other way ? We need a massive change in attitude, from ‘I am entitled to -cheap- foreign holidays’ & impressing the Joneses to ‘there are plenty of other fun options besides getting pissed on a tropical beach or in a disco in Barcelona’, ‘camping with your family in your own country is not something to be ashamed of, it’s fun’.

  3. Andy Worthington says...

    Great to hear from you, Anna. I think the ‘working from home’ conversations that people are having here tend to involve working part-time at home, part-time in the office, which would deal with the isolation problem that you mention.

    Your proposal for generic resorts is another version of a solution I thought of years ago, which was to give people photoshopped photos of themselves at the great sights of the world, after a mild hypnosis session to persuade them that they’d been there – Stonehenge, Venice, the pyramids, Macchu Picchu …

    I didn’t fly until I was 21, I think – a small plane form Scotland to the Orkneys. We took two trips to Europe with a car and a tent or caravan when I was 4 and 7, and then I made a few train and ferry journeys when I was about 20, but it was a completely different world to the one that’s developed over the last 20-30 years, which has been absurd – but normalised, of course, for so many people.

    We’re actually going camping for the weekend in a couple of weeks’ time – and then five days in a holiday place in Dorset at the end of August. Not sure when the next time I’ll take a flight will be …

  4. Andy Worthington says...

    Malcolm Bush wrote:

    I believe we are about done for; there is too much against us all.

  5. Andy Worthington says...

    Neil Goodwin wrote:

    It’s not done till I say so … or a million other activists that I haven’t met say so.

  6. Andy Worthington says...

    I’m inclined to agree with Neil, Malcolm, although I understand your conclusion, as the world looks pretty bleak in all sorts of ways right now. But there are still a great number of people who believe in decency, and in our shared humanity, so all is not lost.

  7. Andy Worthington says...

    Damien Morrison wrote:

    Tick tock tick tock says the clock .. Time is running out and the gap is closing .. During this lockdown we have seen a cleaner world a greener world a tiny view of how things are .. If we are to survive or more importantly this planet its environments all its other life forms then .. Everything must stop .. Our ways of life must change immediately we must take control of human overpopulation immediately all flights permanently grounded the list is endless .. People will suffer in the short term .. But if we don’t want a mad max toxic war ravaged dystopian future or a future like that …. warning film .. The Road … then humans better get our act in gear .. We’ve minutes only now

  8. Andy Worthington says...

    Well said, Damien. The environmental urgency hasn’t gone away, although it seems to have become overshadowed by the COVID crisis. Just a few days ago, the IPPR think-tank published a report warning that the government is “‘woefully unaware of and ill-prepared for’ the imminent existential threats posed by climate breakdown and the destruction of nature”. as the Independent described it: https://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-crisis-uk-government-environment-emergency-think-tank-a9583156.html

    I hope we’ll see some – safely distanced – creative environmental protests in the near future. It gets the issues back on the agenda.

  9. Andy Worthington says...

    Liesel Wilkes wrote:

    Another brilliant, well researched, hard hitting article. On the issue of pollution from air travel, many have expressed to me their view that everyone deserves one holiday abroad a year. For the sake of the environment I don’t believe we have this luxury. Hopefully the post C19 stage one lockdown will result in a work life balance where people are left with adequate time to connect with nature more and really notice the damage that is being done by modern living. I certainly appreciated the cleaner air during lockdown.

  10. Andy Worthington says...

    Thanks, Liesel. I appreciate your support!

    I may have been one of those “one flight a year” people; actually, for the last several years, I’ve tended to take two flights a year, one to the US to campaign for the closure of Guantanamo, every January, and the other for a family holiday in Italy or Spain or Turkey, primarily.

    I personally thought that some sort of limit like that was better than the free-for-all that generally prevails – business travellers making dozens or even hundreds of flights a year, people making huge numbers of ‘city break’ weekend trips, weddings abroad, stag do’s and hen do’s abroad, people routinely taking domestic flights instead of trains – but now we seem to be in a place where any kind of flying may no longer be possible.

    Unless huge numbers of people get back on planes, the airline companies aren’t going to be able to make enough money to keep their flights viable, without either (a) huge and permanent government subsidies, or (b) hugely increased fares. I don’t see the entire industry dying, and I’m not a total enthusiast for a world in which we cannot fly at all, while there are so many other aspects of our polluting behaviour that also need addressing, but that’s all pretty theoretical at present, isn’t it, as people simply aren’t flying.

    So hopefully, as you say, people will appreciate a simpler, more localised life in general – although the recent crazed beach behaviour suggests there’s still some way to go on that front for a lot of people! That said, amongst the people I know there’s definitely been an appreciation of cleaner air, a greater connection to nature, more walking and bike use, and less car use – all of which is extremely positive.

    I hope you and Brian are both well – and I hope to see you both somewhere down the line!

  11. Andy Worthington says...

    Liesel Wilkes wrote:

    Andy, yeah it’s complicated. My family are dotted all over the world. Visiting them is hard on my conscience.

    World travel is so culturally normalised, it will take a while to realise the unsustainability of it. It’s a first world privilege too. I get it if you’re a reporter though, providing a service. But for fun? Nah, not any more. It’s non essential.

    Peace x

  12. Andy Worthington says...

    🙂 Liesel. Stay militant! As I say, I’d be content for limited international air travel to exist, but the economics currently suggests that that’s unaffordable – except for the very rich, sadly, who will carry on flying, even if the airlines collapse, via private jets and services that will undoubtedly be set up to cater for them.

    But then many of the world’s current problems have involved the selfishness and sense of entitlement of the rich being extended to the a large proportion of the populations of the world’s wealthier countries – fly where you want, when you want; drive where you want, when you want; buy whatever you want, whenever you want, without thinking about where it came from or how it’s getting to you. The list goes on. Over the last few years, I’ve sometimes taken to saying that millions of people have been living like medieval kings, which I think it true, but is also, evidently, startlingly unsustainable.

  13. Andy Worthington says...

    Damien Morrison wrote:

    Boris trump bolsanaro the Chinese president they need to disappear and I don’t want to say this but most humans are herdlike they follow and need to be led human behavior has shown this over and over again .. We have leaders who are MONSTERS .. And people follow them these same so called leaders worship money and damn the environment hence people don’t care about the environment .. Fukin tree huggers … Duuuuh ..

    Disappear those toxic leaders and disappear anti environmental journalists and media .. Install pro green socialist politicians .. We had a chance with corbyn .. Instil in the populations that it is their duty to protect the environment and live sustainability and peacefully implement family planning worldwide one child one family global for the next … If we make it 500 years .. This may sound extreme Andy and yes I probably sound like some kind of extremist …. Did you know that mars was once a living green planet?? A similar fate awaits us … Time is running out .. We will have to be extreme ..

    Otherwise the extreme will be forced on us.

  14. Andy Worthington says...

    It’s interesting that you mentioned people’s herdlike actions, Damien, as it’s the widespread prevalence of a deranged, selfish sense of entitlement that continues to mean that the US and the UK, for example, are going to struggle to contain the virus. Johnson and Cummings – and Trump – were happy to go with “herd immunity’, which in reality meant “herd death”, and many of their voters agree with them!

    As for drastic change, we’ll just have to see what happens as the recession bites. America is f*cked, with 50m unemployed, but it’s unclear how Britain will adapt to the recession. It’s an opportunity to seize a bright new future – and the best of lockdown has shown that it doesn’t even have to hurt if we think big – but those amongst us who are full of darkness could drag us down further into somewhere very troubling indeed. We need to get organised!

  15. Andy Worthington says...

    Following up on the story of the illegal raves that have been springing up as young people’s tolerance of lockdown has collapsed, here’s a Guardian article that presents a reasonable picture of what’s happening: https://www.theguardian.com/music/2020/jun/30/off-their-heads-the-shocking-return-of-the-rave

    A few excerpts:

    Young people were obeying the lockdown rules – until suddenly they were not. “The raves started to boom about a month after lockdown, once most people realised they weren’t going to get sick,” says Matty [a 25-year old from Liverpool]. Penny, a 27-year-old performer from London, recently went to an illegal rave in Hackney, east London. “A month ago, people would have said: ‘No you can’t go partying, that’s awful!’ But the way it’s been handled by the government, now we have a different perspective. They’ve given us such mixed messages all the way through … The rave Penny attended was held in some artists’ studios; she spent the evening banging a drum she found on the dancefloor and doing tarot readings for guests. “There was a postapocalyptic, glamorous vibe,” she says. “I really enjoyed it. Everyone was in the moment, dancing.”

    […]

    These young ravers are unrepentant about breaking lockdown. “No one is physical distancing,” says Penny. “There’s a sense of nihilism now, like: whatever will be, will be.” Penny sees people in shops and in parks; none of them are physically distancing, so why should she? Andy says the same was true at his rave. “Everyone was sweating and dancing together,” he says. “There was no two metres or anything like that.” In any case, says Andy, “the rules don’t make sense. You can’t go see your nana, but you can go to Primark? People are thinking: if you can go to Primark and buy yourself some thongs for a quid, you can go get some Es and get down a field and get out of your head.”

    It is not hard to see why illegal raves can act as a pressure valve for young people who have spent months indoors, away from their friends, schools, colleges or workplaces. “People feel trapped at the moment,” says Matty. “No one is on holiday. No one is at festivals. Nothing is open for the youth.”

    But it is more than that. For young people who have experienced only a commercialised club scene, illegal raves feel like discovering dance music in Technicolor. “Everything has got so commercial,” says Andy. “There was none of that. You could just do what you wanted.”

    Also check out this VICE video, ‘Inside London’s Illegal Lockdown Raves’: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E4ldQOkMhrY

  16. Andy Worthington says...

    Damien Morrison wrote:

    We need to organise we cannot be passive .. We could by starting now have this incredible green world sustainable everything .. Future filled .. But as you said our leaders have dark hearts .. Just look at them .. The people have become feral only thinking of themselves a toxic destructive selfishness ME ME ME WHAT ABOUT ME .. A narcissism promoted everywhere .. We must act

    We need leaders like the late great Larry Kramer .. Fearless

  17. Andy Worthington says...

    Yes, the sentient amongst us need to get together on this, Damien, now that we can reasonably safely gather in public to protest, as that recent flurry of BLM activity showed.

    Thanks for mentioning Larry Kramer. There was a good obituary here in the New Yorker: https://www.newyorker.com/culture/postscript/the-benevolent-rage-of-larry-kramer

  18. Andy Worthington says...

    When my friend Anna Fauzy-Ackroyd shared this, she wrote:

    Global tourism in its current form is totally unsustainable. In fact mass ‘global’ tourism in any form can never be sustainable. What are the alternatives? Perhaps taking holidays much more locally together with nurturing enjoyment in the small things and the wonders closer to home. Holidays began as holy days – maybe we can return more to this meaning – peaceful, reflective time in nature, in sacred places, and with loved ones. Adverts in MSM promoting dream holidays in exotic locations as the entitled norm is a myth that needs shattering. But also how to soften the economic repercussions on those involved in the tourist trade in poorer countries that have little or no safety from the government? No easy answers here but this shift away from mass tourism must begin and lockdown to stop the virus spread has precipitated this, unlike any other measures.

  19. Andy Worthington says...

    Thanks for sharing, Anna, and for your introductory comments. I’m trying to get conversations going. I don’t see enough discussion in the media about what our priorities should be, how we’re going to deal with the tsunami of changes to our lives, and how we might makes some changes for the better.

  20. Andy Worthington says...

    Anna Fauzy-Ackroyd wrote:

    Definitely an urgently needed discussion. Thanks for opening it up in your latest post. Pressure from outside government is the only way. Boris’s new slogan is ‘Build, Build, Build’. These slogans are frankly sinister. ‘Flight Free UK’ is a good face page for updates.

  21. Andy Worthington says...

    Thanks for that recommendation, Anna. I’m now following the page: https://www.facebook.com/flightfreeUK/

    As for the government, we’ve been led by intellectually bankrupt leaders for far too long now. I was going to complain about Boris Johnson in particular, but although he’s irredeemably useless, I wouldn’t want to call him the worst leader we’ve had, because Cameron and Osborne did so much damage in 2010-16 through their vile austerity programme, and Cameron, of course, gave us Brexit because of his inability to show true leadership.

    But clearly we can only expect windbag nonsense from Johnson, and not the profound revolutionary changes we actually need. The only silver lining is that the virus is global, and so a large number of countries are trying to work out how to move forward, and there’ll no doubt be some countries who will provide us with some good ideas, in the absence of anything positive from the Tories.

  22. Andy Worthington says...

    Tashi Farmilo-Marouf wrote:

    Maybe they can transform empty office buildings into housing? There is a deficit of social housing in the UK 😉

  23. Andy Worthington says...

    First the social housing providers need to have their greed removed, Tashi. People’s need is so great, and so many incomes so low that the provision of housing needs to be on a not-for-profit basis – as a basic human right.

  24. Counterintelligence from Michael_Novakhov (51 sites): Eurasia Review: UK Workers Not Enthusiastic About Returning To Office To Revive 'Business As Usual' – OpEd | Trump and FBI - trumpandfbi.com says...

    […] international tourism is, environmentally, absolutely necessary and long overdue, as I have written about before, but adapting to the changes will, of course, be a painful process. However, there is no magic wand […]

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Andy Worthington

Investigative journalist, author, campaigner, commentator and public speaker. Recognized as an authority on Guantánamo and the “war on terror.” Co-founder, Close Guantánamo and We Stand With Shaker. Also, photo-journalist (The State of London), and singer and songwriter (The Four Fathers).
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